Author: mongreldogs

  • Noah Smith on the Rise of the Machines

    Here’s a worthwhile read from Noah Smith on the future of an economy where most work is done by robots.

    I’ve actually thought about this for a long while.  How can a democracy survive if all the economic oomph lies in the very few owners of capital?  As much as he was (justifiably) derided, President George W. Bush did have a good turn of phrase: How do we ensure we are an “ownership society” and not an owned one?  How do we make sure that wealth doesn’t freeze out to those lucky enough to be born to parents lucky enough (or ruthless enough) to have amassed a disproportionate share of the resources?

    Maybe long term, everyone else stops reproducing and dies out.  (But it’s hard to imagine that without draconian enforcement.)  Maybe everyone else gets fed up and smashes the system, or the people on top heartlessly crush them.  (That seems to be the common sci fi prediction.)  It’s hard to see how we get from where we are to something like Star Trek’s Federation, where everyone is meaningfully employed and wants for nothing.

    I agree with Noah but more emphatically: This is a problem we need to solve, and fast. It’s a bit dismaying to see all the sturm-and-drang arguing over how the classical economy works, when it seems pretty clear the terms are all about to change abruptly and massively.  It’s yet another reason why I confidently predict this will be the Final Century of human history:  Either we figure it out and become something new, or we’ll destroy ourselves in the paroxysms of the doomed struggle to keep things the same.

  • Lost You in the Canyon (30 Days of Marc Cohn – Day 1)

    “Lost You in the Canyon”
    Burning the Daze

    Marc Cohn’s third studio album seems, more or less, to be universally seen as his weakest, and I guess I mostly share that opinion.  But even so there are a number of quite good songs on it, and “Lost You in the Canyon” is one of them.

    Got your call from California
    But I could hardly hear your voice
    Through the hissing of the highway
    And all that other noise

    I really like the extended metaphor, analogizing the erratic cell phone signal we all loath with the gradual decay and loss of a deep emotional connection:

    Now all these things we leave unspoken
    Seem to haunt me like a ghost

    This is our first hint that this song is about more than a dropped call.  It’s more than static that’s getting in the way; the call is failing to transmit the things they can’t say.

    There were times I thought I knew you
    Before these changes came to pass
    But you don’t think about it do you?
    From up there in your house of glass

    The loss becomes palpable here.  The regret seems resigned, sad rather than angry to discover that the other is not whom the singer thought he was.  “House of glass” works on many levels.  It denotes a certain ultramodern detachment and impracticality, a retreat into aesthetic that walls off the singer from his conversant.  A glass house looks pretty but doesn’t make much sense.  It’s also intrinsically fragile and even a bit reckless, even if it’s the singer throwing stones.

    The Earth is shifting underneath you
    The land is sliding all around
    Do you ever stop to wonder
    About that paradise you’ve found?

    Ostensibly about the California from the first line, this is really an anguished cry that things are changing and the conversant apparently doesn’t even notice.  A loss cuts twice as deep when only one feels it.  This might also render the first line’s California metaphorical — it’s more the California of the mind than of the Pacific coast.  While it’s probably reading too much into it, this really works for the times during which Marc Cohn grew up — late 1960s through early 1980s.  This was exactly the time that California was shifting in the American psyche, from technicolor fantasy world to a grittier, harder-edged reality — when the paint had begun to dull at Disneyland — when the state, and the nation, woke up to the hangover truths of the times.  A dimming and distant California, lost in static not music, fading from paradise into parody, speaks to everyone coming of age at that time.

    I hear you moving through the mountains
    Through the fires and the floods
    But I can’t fix this bad connection
    In the wires or the blood

    This is the crux of the song for me.  It works on a literal level, of course — fires and floods in California are nothing new.  But it’s also about the wanton way in which we reinvent ourselves, obliterating what we were to become what we hope to be — and the losses we suffer, the things and people we leave behind, to whom we might speak but with whom we will no longer connect.  There’s also just something gripping about the “connection in the wires and the blood”.  (That might make a great title for a novel of the Internet age.)

  • Extremism begets extremism

    I would not normally be this way, but I’ll admit: The unyielding intransigence of the doomsday gun nuts is beginning to make me think it’s time to amend the Constitution and repeal the Second Amendment. If 2A means that no reasonable efforts can be made at all to reduce gun violence, then maybe it’s time for 2A to go.

    http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2013/01/impeach-obama-guns-steve-stockman.php?ref=fpb

  • Sure, but just imagine how sorry you’ll be if the British invade…

    Kellermann found people turned those guns on themselves and others in the house far more often than on intruders. “In other words, a gun kept in the home was 43 times more likely to be involved in the death of a member of the household than to be used in self-defense,” he says.

    (Source: NPR)

  • One party is not fit to govern

    Hint: It’s not the Democrats.

    According to a piece in Politico, significant numbers of Republican representatives are willing to trash the full faith and credit of the United States — and incidentally dynamite the entire international economic order — so that they can “send Pres. Obama a message”.  Some of them are more reasonable, according to the bizarre new definition of “reasonable” that pervades today’s GOP: They only want to force a government shutdown, not a full-on default.

    This is insanity.  It’s time for everyone who’s not, you know, crazy to start calling it out for what it is. And that begins with the numerous sane moderate Republicans we are always assured are lurking in the background in the Party, rolling their eyes at their wayward brethren.  It’s time for those so-called leaders to step up and call out this craziness.  Someone calling for a platinum terabuck is a lark; someone calling for the US to default — to score points! — is a loon.

    By the by, it’s not even sound fiscal policy motivating these guys.  Apparently, it’s all in the testosterone.

    • “They think this is the only way to get Obama’s attention.”

    • “This is where they could choose to shut down the government to dramatize their contention that for four years Obama has promised in words to cut spending but in action only piled up debt. Many Republicans believe this is precisely what they will do.”

    We’ll leave aside the fact that spending has been cut, to the tune of two trillion dollars.  After all, the official GOP position is, if the numbers don’t support you, ignore the math.
    The best part of the Politico piece is this:

    Obama assumes Republicans would never be so foolish as to put the economy at risk to win a spending fight. Conservatives say he’s definitely wrong on that score.

    He is wrong.  Even the conservatives admit, they are exactly so foolish.
    .

  • Stay classy, guys

    Well, it only took a month for the NRA to forget that gun massacres are the result of violent videogames. Now they’ve released an app allowing you to take target practice. On coffins. With a Mk11 sniper rifle (but that’ll cost a a buck).

    Way to stay classy, Mr. LaPierre and company.

  • Announcing 30 Days of Marc Cohn

    Starting tomorrow, I’ll be sharing my “30 Days of Marc Cohn”, to get myself ready for the Valentine’s Day show I’ll be attending with Annie.  (And this message is mostly about testing some WordPress features I intend to use.)

  • Why they’re called “gun nuts”

    So in Arizona, the NRA is mad that guns turned into the police at a buyback are going to be destroyed rather than, say, put back into circulation. Let’s unpack that:

    • For these people, the Union is ephemeral, to be abandoned when the people elect someone the NRA doesn’t like… But the physical guns are perpetual. Riiiiiight….
    • The guns haven’t been “abandoned”; they’ve been properly sold to the police. It’s the exact opposite to abandoned. Words mean things, guys
    • The sheer arrogance of the NRA is mind-blowing. The law doesn’t cater to their particular fetish? Then

      “We just go back and we tweak it and tune it up, and we work with our friends in the Legislature and fix it so they can’t do it,” Rathner [an Arizona lobbyist and a national board member of the NRA] adds.

      In other words, “We can rewrite the laws of our state and thwart the will of the people due to a legislature we control through a mix of cowed legislators plus the bat-crazy ones who agree with us.”

    All of this because the people of Tuscon dare to decide that, just maybe, it’s OK to voluntarily get rid of some guns.

    I think I am just about done caring about the delicate sensibilities of these people. Here’s a newsflash: The Second Amendment is not a suicide pact. And until you’re actually and in fact part of a “well-regulated militia”, I don’t really care that you want to own a gun. (And it has to be a real militia, not a self-selected group of paranoid nutjobs.)

  • 2013

    I don’t do resolutions. But I do intend to write more regularly in the coming year.

  • Filling in the memory hole

    Following Noah Smith’s lead, I am simply copying John Derbyshire’s ludicrous racist screed to do my bit to prevent it from vanishing down the memory hole once he and his sponsors realize how damning it is.  Distributed democracy for the win.

    Racist nonsense below the fold. UPDATE: Smith has published some thoughts on the screed, which capture some of what I’d been thinking, so I figured I’d link to that too.

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