One month to go…

… until the US Presidential election. Barack Obama seems to have the momentum now, gaining about 1 point in national tracking polls every three days. Nate Silver at 538 has a model predicting that Senator Obama will win about 340 electoral votes — over the required total by 70, a landslide by any measure.

So here’s my prediction, and I’m sorry if I sound paranoid, but I am increasingly worried: Major terrorist scare in the next three weeks. Depending on how badly McCain has tanked, it might only be a “rattle the voters” attempt to scare them back into the Republican camp — something like capturing a “dirty bomber” in an American city. If there’s absolutely no hope for the erratic maverick, then expect an actual event — most likely abroad, but I’m starting to wonder if even that line will be crossed. Sure, it’s risky. People could find out and then there would be Hell to pay. But if it’s a McCain administration, that’s a lot easier to cover up.

And there is no way that Dick Cheney spends eight years assembling the most executive power in American history, only to hand it over to an upstart Democratic candidate from Chicago. Not going to happen. Not going to be allowed to happen.

And I don’t even watch 24…